RANGER AGAINST WAR <

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Guy Fawkes

--We The Payers, Mr. Fish

No visible means of support and

You have not seen nothing yet

Everything's stuck together

--Burning Down the House
, Talking Heads

Cher: I want to do something for humanity.

Josh: How about sterilization?

--Clueless
(1995)

_______________


The latest exhibit to justify our War of Terror is one Najibullah Zazi. Of him,
Reuters says,

"Security experts had considered the case of Zazi, a former coffee vendor from New York who had moved to Colorado [where he worked as as shuttle driver at the Denver airport], among the most serious within U.S. borders since the attacks of September 11, 2001. In recent weeks, however, the case has been overshadowed by the attempted Christmas Day bombing of a Detroit-bound airliner (Zazi Associate Charged in New york Bomb Plot.)"

We can see how the exploits of would-be panty bomber Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab would shove the other would-be bomber off the front page (look what happened when Britney went commando; we are as a nation, underwear fetishists.) One might think these bombers-manque are some sort of latter day Guy Fawkes.

Zazi appears to be an al-Qaeda bomb-making trainee willing and able to carry out attacks in the U.S. He has low-level bombing capabilities and intent, if we believe news sources. That is all the bad news.


The good news is that like the shoe bomber Reid and crotch bomber Abdulmutallab
, Zazi was an ineffectual operative.

"In 2009, Zazi bought beauty supplies, including acetone, in order to manufacture approximately two pounds of an unstable, but powerful explosive—triacetone triperoxide, or TATP. This substance is often used as a detonator to set off even more powerful explosives." He allegedly "cook[ed] up the homemade bomb materials in a Colorado hotel room, [then] embarked on a cross-country drive to New York" (
LegalInfo).

Zazi allegedly manufactured and transportedthe TATP with the intent of bombing something in NYC. The target has never been disclosed, nor has the actual amount of TATP in Zazi's possession. There has been no evidence presented that the homemade explosive was in fact an explosive mixture, but presuming that it would have exploded, how would it have been detonated?


In the July 2005 London transportation bombings, a TATP mixture was successfully detonated, causing "small explosions". In four separate incidents, 52 people were killed, in addition to the four suicide bombers. In the U.S., the Shoe Bomber and Underwear Bomber were unable to detonate their small explosive devices.


If Zazi possessed about two pounds of TATP, what could be a high-value target for such a small amount of explosive? Two pounds of homemade explosive is not adequate to blow up a house or any structure of significance. It could blow up a car, but it could not make a car bomb. In comparison, a Claymore mine has 642 grams (~1.3 pounds) of high-order, factory manufactured C-4.


Ranger thinks back to when toting explosives in a rucksack was
de rigueur, and two pounds of explosives wouldn't take down an oak tree. Two pounds of homemade explosive would likely not be more than a statement, and the statement would be, "We al-Qaeda trained bomb makers are pathetically incompetent."

The grenade that was commonly used in Vietnam was the M26 Frag grenade, which had 164 grams of Composition B. The M362 A1 High Explosive 81 mm mortar round has 2.10 pounds of Comp B, a good approximation of the 2 pounds of TATP Zazi was planning to employ (assuming it was pure). More likely, the explosive power in the homemade TATP is rather low-order far as bomb-making materials go.
In the military, one places explosives to enhance the blast effect, and even if Zazi were so-trained, we are not talking a major destructive force.

We are spending billions to counter buffoons. Our three major stateside threats -- Reid, Zazi and Abdulmutallab -- all possessed less than two pounds of homemade explosive materials, creating a device that would be not much more than an irritant. Contrast that with the hundreds of tons of explosives dropped on Afghan targets.


Zazi is being charged with "conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction."
Since when has less than two pounds of explosive become a WMD? A bomb isn't a WMD, it is just a nasty bomb. The concept of bomb invovles fear because we think of our own powerful bombs.

Zazis' desire and intent may have been to use a WMD, but the reality is quite the opposite, just as Saddam promised to bring the
"Mother of all Wars," but was not quite up to the task. We humans are often burdened by delusions of grandeur, or just bog simple delusions.

In a nice twist, even the Wall Street Journal has begun to recognize contradictions in our approach (when it suits their editorial position):


"In the latest case, Zazi reportedly cooperated only after the feds charged his father with conspiracy and threatened his mother with deportation. That came well after his arrest. It's also amusing that critics who decry as "torture" such interrogation techniques as isolation or exposure to heat and cold don't seem to mind threats to possibly innocent family members (Mr. Holder's Triumph)."

Valid observation. Touche, WSJ.

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Sunday, October 14, 2007

Brunching

"This one is for learning the lessons of Afghanistan"
_____________


Having brunch with an out-of town friend this morning (that's what Kerry-lovin' liberals do, right--brunch?), I heard a very simple truism from my communicant. It grew out of a Sociology 101 discussion on the authoritarian mindset, whose adherents yearn for direction and will unblinkingly follow the father-leader into the mouth of hell. To wit,

"Why is it people are so afraid today? I grew up with the Soviet menace around every corner, and thousands of actual nuclear warheads aimed right for the U.S., yet now I'm expected to give up my rights to be protected from men like Osama bin Laden, who live in caves who do not have nuclear capacities?"

It is a simple and valid question. How have we come this far (backward), and forgotten that we came through an actual threat intact, and forgotten the ways in which we achieved that detente?


Input is welcomed.

--Lisa

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